Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.005635 0.006216 0.006816 0.007482 0.008199 0.008946 0.009782
2024-12-29 0.004834 0.005681 0.006600 0.007666 0.008866 0.010169 0.011688
2025-01-05 0.004370 0.005379 0.006511 0.007869 0.009443 0.011202 0.013307
2025-01-12 0.003819 0.004900 0.006153 0.007697 0.009535 0.011640 0.014215
2025-01-19 0.003445 0.004586 0.005945 0.007662 0.009752 0.012193 0.015238
2025-01-26 0.003098 0.004272 0.005704 0.007556 0.009858 0.012597 0.016070
2025-02-02 0.002841 0.004045 0.005550 0.007535 0.010051 0.013092 0.017007
2025-02-09 0.002607 0.003829 0.005391 0.007493 0.010202 0.013528 0.017867
2025-02-16 0.002489 0.003756 0.005407 0.007666 0.010621 0.014295 0.019146
2025-02-23 0.002276 0.003538 0.005218 0.007559 0.010669 0.014590 0.019829
2025-03-02 0.002128 0.003400 0.005127 0.007571 0.010866 0.015071 0.020750
2025-03-09 0.002082 0.003402 0.005222 0.007834 0.011395 0.015985 0.022237
2025-03-16 0.001976 0.003314 0.005192 0.007930 0.011711 0.016638 0.023414
2025-03-23 0.001909 0.003279 0.005236 0.008126 0.012165 0.017480 0.024852
2025-03-30 0.001853 0.003256 0.005292 0.008338 0.012642 0.018359 0.026351
2025-04-06 0.001688 0.003055 0.005079 0.008158 0.012569 0.018495 0.026863
2025-04-13 0.001577 0.002930 0.004970 0.008121 0.012690 0.018890 0.027723
2025-04-20 0.001455 0.002780 0.004817 0.008010 0.012699 0.019130 0.028371
2025-04-27 0.001365 0.002676 0.004728 0.007989 0.012833 0.019538 0.029252
2025-05-04 0.001276 0.002569 0.004627 0.007944 0.012929 0.019893 0.030060
2025-05-11 0.001244 0.002556 0.004674 0.008125 0.013357 0.020717 0.031526
2025-05-18 0.001151 0.002431 0.004535 0.008013 0.013346 0.020919 0.032129
2025-05-25 0.001090 0.002359 0.004479 0.008026 0.013521 0.021385 0.033105